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The Basics of Forex Trading
So, You Want to Trade Forex:
Understanding Forex in Plain English
By Raghee Horner, Founder / Lead Trader of EZ2TradeSoftware.com*
Let's get into what every trader or investor needs to know about Forex. This will be the first of a series of three articles, including charting tools and charting set-ups. The foreign exchange or "Forex" (also called the spot market) is the largest market on the planet. Period. It's average $1.5 trillion to $2 trillion traded per day is almost 100 times that of the $25 billion of the NYSE. Here are some other facts traders and investors should acquaint themselves with about Forex.
The Forex market is open 24 hours, six days a week. Opening Sunday afternoon (ET) and closing Friday evening, the Forex trades almost six days a week. This market does not close between Sunday and Friday.
Let's imagine waking up on Tuesday morning. While you were sleeping, Sydney, Hong Kong, Frankfurt and London were all trading. London is the most active time zone in the Forex market, and it is five hours ahead of New York. Remember that this is a truly global market. As one time zone finishes trading for the day, another is starting. News and short-term fundamentals have very little to no long-term impact because of the 24-hour, worldwide participation.
There is no single exchange where Forex is traded. Besides being open 24 hours a day, the Forex market is as large as it is for another reason: There is no central exchange like that of the New York Stock Exchange or the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.
Rather, the Forex market is an "interbank exchange" and is traded electronically through a network of banks, phones and the Internet.
The Forex is a free-floating market. The value of any currency
is decided on by supply and demand. Consider that just a little
more than 5 percent of the activity is generated by companies
and governments that do business in a foreign country and
convert one currency to another to buy and sell goods and
services.
What of the other 90-plus percent? Purely speculation. Because
of the sheer size, there is little chance of market manipulation
or a single institution dominating the market. It is for this
very reason that the Forex market lends itself so well to
charting and technical analysis.
Major banks and corporations trade the Forex. A lot of the reason
for the size and liquidity of the Forex has to do with the
banks and corporations that participate in this market. This
is not a new market; however, it is new to individual traders
and investors in the U.S. It is because of the Commodity Futures
Modernization Act that we now enjoy access to this Forex market.
For years, though, banks and corporations have participated and
profited in this market. The banks that are active in providing
market liquidity are Credit Suisse, Bank of America, Goldman
Sachs and Morgan Stanley, just to name a few. Corporations
take participation in this market very seriously; many have
in-house trading or subsidiaries to handle their Forex trading.
There are no gaps in this market and stops are guaranteed. You
may be wondering, "Did I read that correctly?" Yes,
you did. Because the market has no gaps, you never have to
deal with gap opens on Sunday afternoon. The 24-hour trading
and massive liquidity virtually guarantee that your stops
will be executed with no slippage. Although you should check
with your brokerage, most firms offer this guarantee.
While I am a chartist (that means I believe that the news is built
into the price action), I do acknowledge that reports can
and do affect the Forex markets in the short term. Let's
review the reports to keep an eye out for:
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European Central Bank and U.S. Federal Reserve decisions on interest rates |
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GDP Preliminary |
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Industry-Sponsored Marketplace (ISM) index and Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) |
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Huge news events, such as elections and war |
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Michigan Sentiment (index put out by the University of Michigan) |
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Non-farm payroll |
When trading Forex, it is important to understand the price quotes.
It may seem daunting at first, but I assure you it's easy
to understand once you know what you are looking at.
You probably know that the quotes are always presented in "pairs".
For example: The USD / CAD. This is the U.S. dollar versus
the Canadian dollar. Because the U.S. dollar is the first
currency quoted in the pair, it is known as the "base
currency" and, therefore, has a value of one. In other
words, "1" USD is equal to "x" CAD. If
the current quote for the USD / CAD was 1.3910, that would
mean that one U.S. dollar is worth 1.3910 Canadian dollars.
Imagine flying to Canada, arriving at the airport and exchanging U.S.
dollars for Canadian dollars. This example would be the exchange
rate.
There are six major currency pairs to watch. The U.S. dollar
versus the Japanese Yen, the U.S. dollar versus the Swiss
Franc, the U.S. dollar versus the Canadian dollar, the Euro
dollar versus the U.S. dollar, the British Pound versus the
U.S. dollar, the Australian dollar versus the U.S. dollar.
These six pairs are called the "majors". The majors
make up almost 90 percent of daily trading activity.
The first three: The USD / JPY, USD / CHF and the USD / CAD all
have the U.S. dollar as the base currency and are quoted like
the Canadian dollar example above. The last three: The EUR
/ USD, GBP / USD, and the AUD / USD all have the U.S. dollar
as the second currency and are quoted differently.
When the U.S. dollar is the second currency in the pair, the quote
is presented in one base currency equals "x" US
Dollar. So, in an example where the EUR / USD quote is 1.1858,
"1" Euro dollar is worth 1.1858 U.S. dollars.
When we turn to the charts, we can begin to visualize what the
rates mean. Let's return to the EUR / USD example. When this
chart trends upward, it actually means that the Eurodollar
is strengthening and the U.S. dollar is weakening. In other
words, it takes more U.S. dollars to equal one Euro dollar.
The same is true for the GBP / USD and AUD / USD.
When the U.S. dollar is the base currency (the first currency quoted
in the pair), and the chart is in an up trend, the U.S. dollar
is strengthening, and the Canadian dollar, Swiss Franc or
Japanese Yen is weakening. So, in the example of the USD /
CAD chart, if it is trending up, the U.S. dollar is strengthening
and the Canadian dollar is weakening. If the chart is trending
down, the U.S. dollar is weakening and the Canadian dollar
is strengthening.
A pip is like a tick in the stock or futures market in that
it is the smallest increment of point movement. How do you
find out which decimal place in the quote is the pip? Look
at the number furthest to the right in the quote.
For example, in a EUR / USD quote of 1.1847, 7 represents the
decimal place that is the pip. So, a price movement from 1.1847
to 1.1848 would be a one-pip move. All the majors, with the
exception of the USD / JPY, have four decimal places, and
the pip is the fourth decimal place. With the USD / JPY (U.S.
dollar versus Japanese Yen), there are only two decimal places.
The pip ("price interest point") dollar value is different
for some majors. The dollar value for each pip in the EUR
/ USD, GBP / USD and AUD / USD is a fixed $10.00. For the
CAD / USD, CHF / USD and JPY / USD, it is not fixed, but,
rather, fluctuates between $7 and $8.
Now that we are familiar with the Forex market, in the second
article of this series, we'll discuss how to analyze the charts,
including the U.S. dollar Index.
Raghee Horner is an experienced trader with more than 15 years in
the markets. She has taught her brand of technical analysis
and charting strategies to students all over the world and
is an internationally known author, emphasizing charting and
price action. Website: www.EZ2TradeSoftware.com
*Reprinted (and modified) with permission from Raghee Horner of EZ2TradeSoftware.com
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